Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.237667 0.328368 0.429853 0.549531 0.684789 0.831193 1.000030
2025-07-06 0.125599 0.240401 0.387506 0.578031 0.809007 1.072673 1.389960
2025-07-13 0.080968 0.204529 0.379763 0.620492 0.924003 1.280058 1.717391
2025-07-20 0.049989 0.174692 0.371045 0.655396 1.025691 1.469461 2.023002
2025-07-27 0.035696 0.165308 0.386378 0.718163 1.159205 1.694699 2.368814
2025-08-03 0.021985 0.149084 0.387324 0.758650 1.262562 1.882227 2.669186
2025-08-10 0.009115 0.122640 0.366408 0.764791 1.318809 2.010098 2.896715
2025-08-17 0.000495 0.083044 0.313193 0.717811 1.300426 2.042007 3.005678
2025-08-24 NaN 0.050447 0.260757 0.664529 1.268340 2.052868 3.085846
2025-08-31 NaN 0.033447 0.233231 0.646029 1.281211 2.118827 3.231945
2025-09-07 NaN 0.024915 0.222510 0.653474 1.329629 2.230040 3.433796
2025-09-14 NaN 0.015888 0.204612 0.646177 1.355425 2.310808 3.596929
2025-09-21 NaN 0.007643 0.181532 0.629095 1.369135 2.379743 3.751291
2025-09-28 NaN 0.006294 0.186976 0.665700 1.463801 2.557837 4.045906
2025-10-05 NaN 0.005756 0.196332 0.709675 1.569409 2.750398 4.358691
2025-10-12 NaN 0.004837 0.202602 0.747590 1.665972 2.931064 4.656695
2025-10-19 NaN 0.006055 0.223529 0.814631 1.807034 3.171793 5.031558
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005530 0.232423 0.857902 1.912025 3.364165 5.344989
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002943 0.223151 0.864443 1.960738 3.480650 5.561573
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000100 0.187778 0.814285 1.920346 3.475421 5.621506
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.152259 0.757272 1.865792 3.448604 5.651859
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.135017 0.737445 1.868224 3.498528 5.779956
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.129876 0.745425 1.915268 3.610113 5.988120